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"We often say that fools have their luck, and this principle can sometimes apply to sports betting as well. The main thing is that sometimes, the deeper your understanding, the more likely you are to overthink and outsmart yourself. I watch a lot of football, but my knowledge of football is at a semi-amateur level. So, this kind of half-knowledge has actually cost me several bets in football.
When it comes to basketball, I know nothing at all. I just try to understand their recent form, look at the opponents and point spreads in each game, and then assess their current state. Then, I place bets purely based on intuition. Surprisingly, this has led to a higher winning rate in basketball compared to football.
So, sometimes when betting, it's necessary to go back to basics. This helps you analyze the odds from an outsider's perspective. Having an intermediate level of understanding can be fatal in sports betting. I hope everyone takes this as a lesson and doesn't think they're too clever for their own good. Overthinking can be counterproductive." |
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