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On March 13th at 4 am, in the English Championship, Arsenal will host Porto. There is a clear gap in strength between the two teams. The official odds are 1.16 (Arsenal), 5.5 (draw), and 10.5 (Porto). Arsenal is obviously the favorite. However, after losing 0-1 in the first leg, Arsenal needs more goals to advance.
Arsenal's recent form has been impressive, with 8 consecutive league wins. Their only recent defeat was in the first leg against Porto, where their attacking trio failed to score despite dominating possession. Porto, on the other hand, has been performing well in the league, scoring 8 goals and conceding none in their last two matches. However, it's worth noting that the Portuguese league is of a lower standard compared to the top five European leagues, and they are facing a strong Arsenal side this season.
Last weekend, with Liverpool and Manchester City drawing, Arsenal climbed to the top of the table. However, maintaining their position will be challenging, especially with a tough fixture against Chelsea coming up. The good news is that Arsenal will have consecutive home games, both in the Champions League and the Premier League.
Looking at the historical record, Arsenal has won 2, drawn 1, and lost 3 of their last 6 encounters with Porto. However, their home record against Porto is impressive, with 9 goals scored and none conceded in their last two home matches.
The odds suggest that Arsenal is almost certain to win, with the only suspense being whether they can win by a large margin. The most likely scorelines are 2-0 (odds of 6.5), followed by 1-0 and 3-0 (both at odds of 7.5). Overall, Arsenal's victory seems inevitable, and they are likely to adopt an attacking approach to secure advancement, with a 2-0 or 3-0 win being the most probable outcome. |
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