Baccarat Betting Tips from Years of Experience!

Jiger955

"What is a streak? 8 in a row? 10 in a row? 15 in a row? Ironically, based on actual testing, it takes playing through every 5 shoes to see an 8-in-a-row streak, playing through 20 shoes to see a 10-in-a-row streak, and a staggering 167 shoes to see a 15-in-a-row streak. So, you'll have to wait patiently for that.

Now, here's the question: Some people say to start betting after seeing two banks in a row. Honestly, no matter when you start betting after seeing how many banks, your chances of losing are always greater than hitting a long streak. It's better to seize the opportunity at a certain point rather than chasing a streak. From a mathematical perspective, even if you start betting after seeing two banks, your only chance is to continuously win to catch up.

The concept to keep in mind is the "cumulative loss." Please pay attention to this phrase. The problem is that you may run out of funds before you make a comeback.

The fallacy of linear thinking: What is a trend? Someone once said that the "trend" in Baccarat is lagging behind. This is a profound statement. Stock market trends are mostly artificial; big players can manipulate the trend of a particular stock. Financial institutions, governments, or even individuals can influence the trend of the overall market; it's not something set in stone. What about Baccarat? If the trend in Baccarat were predictable, then the casinos would have gone bankrupt.

So, are we helpless? Not necessarily; let me explain...

Linear thinkers often view consecutive Banker or Player outcomes in a shoe as a trend. In a narrow sense, this can be considered a trend, and it can serve as an indicator for betting. Now, let's talk about the Law of Large Numbers. When it's not Banker, it's Player, so theoretically, the limit of consecutive streaks should be infinite. However, in practice, it's not the case. Based on decades of data and my own recollection of several years in Macau, the longest streak ever recorded is around 27 (please correct me if there are longer records). What does this tell us? In theory, anything is possible, but in reality, there are limits. This demonstrates that when a probability is extremely low, it can be disregarded; it exists only in theory.

This means that when a probability is extremely low, it can be disregarded; it exists only in theory. This is why someone mentioned the chaos theory. The basic characteristics of chaos theory generally include macroscopic disorder, internal randomness, non-periodicity, and local instability. It's a phenomenon of macroscopic chaos with local order. How can we apply these theories to practical methods?

If a method lacks effective theoretical support, whether it's based on science, mathematics, data, or even philosophy or the I Ching, it doesn't matter. But at least, it should convince yourself.

Some have mentioned the point-line-plane theory. Betting continuously can be considered a point-based approach. Betting continuously will eventually lead you to the Law of Large Numbers, whether you're using the 6-step, 8-step, or even 12-step method. If you play every day, you're bound to encounter a losing streak eventually unless your bankroll is large enough to withstand a 30-step martingale.

Suppose we assume that the most extreme streak ever seen is 27 in a shoe. With such a sample size, you would be guaranteed to win. But D casinos only give you the chance to play 150 shoes at most, using a straight-line method will only get you to an 8-step progression. So, someone came up with a stop-loss point...

But what about the line? Some might explain it as a trend. No, it's not. However, the trend itself is not wrong; you can follow it. Sometimes it can bring you surprising results, and sometimes it can lead to disasters, right?

If we redefine "line" as a horizontal line, or call it "horizontal thinking," it's something entirely different. Why do some say that player C's method has a chance of winning? Because this method is the result of horizontal thinking.

So, I'll share my own method, which is 1114/2228/. Why? I have my reasons. I use a negative progression, and the winning progression is slightly different from Bruce's, but the idea is similar.

For example, if my bankroll is 10 units, and each unit is 100 dollars. My goal is to make 3 units per shoe. So, when I reach 10 units, I reset the bankroll but keep the unit size at 100 dollars. At this point, my bankroll is still 10 units, but each unit is now worth 110 dollars. This way, your bankroll and available capital are always in sync.

The best stop-loss method? This is just my personal opinion, and if you have a different view, please feel free to share. The "Yangtze River" method, which is a negative progression, is effective because it works in both losing and winning streaks. It's designed based on horizontal thinking.

To sum it up, many players are still fixated on the "point" and haven't explored the "line." Your hit rate will naturally be lower if you stick to "point" thinking. However, when you start thinking horizontally, your hit rate will increase. The highest realm lies in the "intersection of order and disorder," which is what we dream of.

So, in the end, it's all about how you view the game and whether you can adapt your strategy to match the changing conditions of the shoe."

Shri333

Thank you, OP, for sharing your theories. I've learned a lot.

Pooja193

OP's theoretical approach to the game is quite impressive. I'll bookmark it for further reference.

Nimmi373

Using this method yields the best results with wins.

Iti911

The master's experience is here to be shared with everyone.

Shri0001

I feel it's necessary to start paying attention when I see this method.

Ritu13

The theory as a whole seems sound; it's crucial to execute it well.