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Edited by 977Iti at 22-12-2023 11:02 AM
How to Win at Baccarat
How can you win at baccarat? What are the odds of winning at baccarat? Is there a guaranteed winning betting method for baccarat? The answer is yes, there are indeed winning betting methods for baccarat, as analyzed below. Whether in live casinos in the Philippines, Las Vegas, Singapore, Macau, or online gambling, some people make a living from gambling. They either master good gaming skills or specialize in finding flaws in betting companies and making a living from them.
The probabilities and expected values of betting on the banker and player in baccarat are as follows:
(Baccarat games typically use 8 decks of cards, and the calculations here are based on that; using fewer decks may lead to slight differences in results.)
Banker: The chance of winning with the banker is 40,309,575,123,456, which gives a probability of 0.4586, and the payout is 0.95 (with a 5% commission).
Player: The chance of winning with the player is 39,222,049,272,832, which gives a probability of 0.4463, and the payout is 1 (even money).
Tie: The chance of a tie is 8,355,296,293,228, which gives a probability of 0.0951, and the payout is 8 to 1.
Based on the above results, assuming you bet 1 unit each time, the returns are as follows:
Banker Bet Return: 0.4586 × 1.95 + 0.0951 × 1 = 0.98937. This means that for every 1 unit bet on the banker, you will, on average, get back 0.98937 units, resulting in a loss of 0.01063 units. The return rate is -1.1%.
Player Bet Return: 0.4463 × 2 + 0.0951 × 1 = 0.9877. This means that for every 1 unit bet on the player, you will, on average, get back 0.9877 units, resulting in a loss of 0.0123 units. The return rate is -1.23%.
Tie Bet Return: 0.0951 × (8 + 1) = 0.8559. This means that for every 1 unit bet on a tie, you will, on average, get back 0.8559 units, resulting in a loss of 0.1441 units. The return rate is -14.41%.
From the above analysis, it is clear that baccarat has one of the smallest house edges among casino games. However, whether you bet on the banker, player, or tie, the return rate is negative, meaning your funds will slowly decrease if you play over the long term. Some may feel disheartened by this.
However, the analysis above is based on probabilities and theoretical values. In the long term or from the perspective of the casino, this is true. However, for individual players, since time and the number of games are limited, the actual results may not adhere to theoretical probabilities.
For instance, if you choose to bet against a dragon after four consecutive wins, you could win within 12 rounds. If you lose, it implies that there was a long dragon of more than 16 rounds, which has a probability of approximately 0.000015. If you are playing on 10 tables at a casino or online platform, with one game opening per minute, you will have a total of 14,400 games in a day. To experience a 16-round long dragon, on average, it would take five days! If you are not a long-term player and assume you play for 2 hours each day, you would need 60 days on average to encounter a 16-round long dragon, which is a full two months. Betting for 2 hours using this method, winning 10 initial units is quite achievable. If the base unit is $20, you can easily earn $200 per day, excluding rebates!
So, this method can indeed allow you to win at baccarat safely and consistently. However, as mentioned before, do not be greedy or play continuously. Prolonged gaming can be detrimental to your health, and one day, you might encounter a 16-round long banker and lose all your funds.
Here are the steps for using this baccarat winning method:
1. Find a gaming platform with a wide range of betting limits, such as EA, AG, BBIN platforms, with the first limit ranging from 20 to 30,000. Of course, casinos have even higher betting limits, usually up to around 500,000.
2. Set a low starting capital, generally equal to the lowest limit. Recommended starting capital is 20, so you would need around 20,000 in your account, with a minimum of 10,240.
3. When playing, switch between different tables, or even platforms, and find a long player or banker streak of four or more. Use the method described for betting against the streak. After a successful bet, do not linger; find another table with a long streak and continue using this method.
By using this method, known as the anti-long streak cable betting method, you can consistently win at baccarat. In the long run, you will feel the thrill of winning at baccarat. However, it is essential to remember not to be greedy or play for extended periods, as continuous gaming can be harmful to your health, and one day you may encounter a 16-round long banker and lose all your funds. |
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Post time 16-10-2023 14:02:14