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This year, with the European Championship underway and Ronaldo and Messi stepping away from mainstream competitions, the performance in major national team tournaments will likely determine the Ballon d'Or recipient. The high probability suggests that the winner will emerge from the team that clinches the European Championship. Unless Haaland delivers an exceptional performance and Manchester City secures both the Premier League and Champions League titles, his chances are limited, as Norway does not qualify for the Euros.
Considering the strengths of European teams, France and England are strong contenders, especially after France narrowly missed defending their World Cup title. Mbappé, consistently impressive in national team competitions, stands out. With Paris Saint-Germain facing stiff competition this year, Mbappé can focus on resting during club matches and bring top form to the Euros. If France wins the championship and Mbappé claims the top scorer title, the Ballon d'Or is likely his.
Bellingham's England is also a strong candidate, but England tends to falter in major tournaments. Despite being a favorite, England might face challenges, and Bellingham might have to wait for his chance. Additionally, Real Madrid's lack of a powerful striker may hinder Bellingham's club success in the Champions League, potentially impacting his Ballon d'Or prospects.
Let's not forget the resilient presence of Ronaldo. If Portugal secures the championship, he could be a contender for the Ballon d'Or. Ultimately, the Ballon d'Or winner this year will likely hinge on the European Championship outcome. Mbappé has the highest probability, followed by Haaland, with Bellingham having a lower chance due to various factors. |
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