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When encountering a new strategy, what aspects do you focus on first? I've expressed similar views in a post on the two-bead strategy, emphasizing the need for a coordinated approach between betting and wagering. Here are a few more thoughts on this topic.
The concept of coordination involves a comprehensive understanding, requiring a complete Dragon and Tiger strategy. This approach stems from setting goals, which are essentially plans.
With clear goals in mind, decisions can be made on how to allocate the capital, base units, betting styles, and wagering strategies. For example, with a combat capital of 1000 yuan and a goal of making a small profit of one to two hundred yuan per day or reaching a profit of 5000 yuan in a few rounds, the betting styles may be the same, but the wagering strategies will differ.
Looking specifically at betting styles, many methods can provide a general expectation of wins and losses based on patterns in the Dragon and Tiger outcomes. This insight guides the variations in wagering strategies. For instance, with Sun's ongoing strategy of betting on Banker or Player throughout the session, you can anticipate certain regular or extreme win-loss patterns. This type of strategy often results in a clear pattern of wins and losses, and Sun employs a gradual flat betting approach to mitigate the amplitude and counterbalance the swings. This approach also utilizes the regression effect of win-loss patterns, maintaining a stable small profit even when the number of losses slightly exceeds the number of wins. The use of a 1000-unit base unit helps counteract the volatility.
In contrast, the widely discussed ED two-bead and three-bead strategies may exhibit a pattern of wins and losses that follows a more unpredictable route. However, focusing solely on betting styles may not be crucial, as the outcomes are still subject to a 50% chance. The randomness in betting styles—whether it's betting randomly on Banker or Player—does not alter the fundamental 50% probability. Despite potential localized deviations in the short term, in the long run, the probability tends to approach 50%. The key is to understand that the randomness in betting styles is a human-created element and does not fundamentally change the odds.
Take, for example, Master Yi's short-road card strategy. This approach is essentially a modified two-bead strategy, with clearly defined entry points and stop-loss levels. Master Yi bets on Banker when Player wins and on Player when Banker wins. Given the often extended continuity of short-road cards, a common win-loss pattern is a +-+- alternating mode and a +++++ most common mode. Therefore, a negative progression to chase losses and progress to winning while mitigating swings is suitable for this style.
These examples highlight the importance of understanding the relationship between betting styles and wagering strategies. Coordination is key, and it is crucial to adapt strategies based on the specific characteristics of each Dragon and Tiger strategy.
In the end, the choice of Dragon and Tiger strategy should align with your personal preferences and risk tolerance. It's a continuous learning process, and the key is to remain adaptable and open to refining your approach based on experience and observations. |
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