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Football Odds Explanation
Handicap (Number Represents) Meaning Explanation
Draw (0) Both sides start level, equal chance of either side winning
Draw/0.5 (0/0.5) If the team with the handicap draw, those who bet on it lose half, win one full unit
0.5 Handicap (0.5) If the team with the handicap draw or lose, those who bet on it lose, win one full unit if it wins
0.5/1 Handicap (0.5/1) If the team with the handicap draws or loses, those who bet on it lose, win half if it wins by one goal, win full if it wins by two goals
1 Handicap (1) If the team with the handicap loses or draws, those who bet on it lose, a one-goal win is considered a draw, win full if it wins by two goals
1/1.5 Handicap (1/1.5) If the team with the handicap wins by one goal, those who bet on it lose half, win one full unit if it wins by two goals
1.5 Handicap (1.5) If the team with the handicap loses, draws, or wins by one goal, those who bet on it lose, win one full unit if it wins by two goals
1.5/2 Handicap (1.5/2) If the team with the handicap wins by two goals, those who bet on it win half, win full if it wins by three goals
2 Handicap (2) If the team with the handicap wins by two goals, it's considered a draw, win full if it wins by three goals
When the home team gives a half-goal handicap at low odds: The home team needs to win by more than one goal for those betting on it to win, indicating the bookmaker's confidence in the home team;
When the home team gives a high half-ball handicap: The home team loses, those betting on it lose, a draw results in those betting on it losing half, and if the home team wins by one or more goals, those betting on it win full. This indicates the bookmaker's lack of confidence in the home team, and one should bet on the away team at this point;
When the home team gives a high half-ball handicap: It indicates the bookmaker's lack of confidence in the home team, so one should bet on the away team.
From giving high handicaps to the home team, it may change to giving low handicaps the following Saturday, indicating that the bookmaker may adjust the odds based on the strengths of the two teams during this period.
Principles of Selection:
According to years of observation, the following rules have been established:
- Do not bet on the home team when it gives a high half-ball handicap.
- Do not bet on the under when the handicap is set at half one.
- Do not bet on the over when the handicap is set at one or one-ball half.
- Do not bet on the under when the handicap is set above one-ball half.
The key to handicapping is to grasp the degree: What does "degree" mean? It refers to the balance between qualitative and quantitative, the breadth of qualitative and the precision of quantitative, the rationality of qualitative and the applicability of quantitative, and the logical symmetry of qualitative and quantitative.
The generation of odds:
In reality, betting companies offer odds slightly lower than this number to ensure a profit. For example, if the odds were 2.50, after reducing by 10%, the actual odds would become 2.25.
Conversion of European Odds to Win/Lose Probability:
1.10 = 81%, 1.12 = 80%, 1.14 = 79%, 1.15 = 78%
1.16 = 77%, 1.17 = 76%, 1.20 = 74-75%, 1.22 = 73%
1.25 = 71-72%, 1.28 = 70%, 1.30 = 69%, 1.33 = 67-68%
1.36 = 65-66%, 1.40 = 63-64%, 1.45 = 61-62%, 1.5 = 60%
1.53 = 59%, 1.55 = 58%, 1.57 = 57%, 1.60 = 56%
1.62 = 55%, 1.65 = 54%, 1.70 = 53%, 1.72 = 52%
1.75 = 51%, 1.80 = 50%, 1.85 = 48-49%, 1.90 = 46-47%
2.00 = 44-45%, 2.10 = 42-43%, 2.20 = 41%, 2.25 = 40%
2.30 = 39%, 2.35 = 38%, 2.40 = 37%, 2.50 = 36% |
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